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How to Think like an Intelligence Analyst

To follow up on Philippe’s post about Thinking in Time:  at IE I teach a course called “Geopolitics” to Masters in Advanced Finance students, and “The Multinational Firm and Geostrategy” to Masters in...

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“Facts” Everybody Knows – Statistical Cautions about the BRICs (in honor of...

In business and finance, statistics and quantitative comparisons are daily companions.  Sometimes, however, key statistics can become too familiar, and reify, i.e. harden into “facts” that everybody...

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Conference on strategic surprises at the CIA

On Wednesday, January 18th, I will be giving a conference on the topic of strategic surprise at EMLYON Business School, as part of the series “The Art of Management”.  In this context, a strategic...

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Lack of diversity paralyzed the CIA. It can cripple your organization, too

Read our guest post on Forbes here. The most recent Forbes piece is about the coming demise of Microsoft. Read it here.

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Geopolitics and Investing: A Reading List

As I explain to my students at IE, the most any business school can hope to do is move you from unconscious ignorance to conscious ignorance of a subject.  In other words, a course can lay a firm...

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Is Your Company Heading For a Cuban Missile Crisis? Steps to Make Sure Big...

Big data evidence hiding in plain sight The rise of big data – the ability to gather massive amounts of information about both environment and operations – rests on the assumption that having more data...

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Meet us next week at SCIP in Orlando to talk about intelligence failure

We will be presenting our upcoming book, “Constructing Cassandra: Reframing intelligence failure at the CIA, 1947-2001″ at the 28th Annual Strategic and Competitive Intelligence Professionals (SCIP)...

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Constructing Cassandra Now Available

Our new book on strategic surprise, Constructing Cassandra:  Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947-2001, is now available for pre-order worldwide. Interested readers in North America can read...

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Two Short but Excellent Books on Intelligence

In the midst of so many “breaking” geopolitical events, I wanted to take a moment to recommend two recently-published books on Intelligence.  Both are quick reads, and neither seems to be getting the...

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Our new Forbes Piece: 1962, The U2, and You: A Risk Management Lesson from...

Our new Forbes piece shows that by looking at the origins of the Cuban Missile Crisis, one can learn valuable lessons on Risk management. Read it here.

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